详情

原文传递 Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations

题名：	Piloting the Use of Network Analysis and Decision-Making under Uncertainty in Transport Operations
其他题名：	Preparation and Appraisal of a Rural Roads Project in Mozambique under Changing Flood Risk and Other Deep Uncertainties
责任者：	Espinet, Xavier；Rozenberg, Julie；Rao, Kulwinder Singh；Ogita, Satoshi
关键词：	Environment — Climate Change Impacts；Macroeconomics and Economic Growth — Spatial and Local Economic Development；Rural Development — Rural Roads & Transport；Water Resources — Flood Control；Transport — Roads & Highways；Transport — Transport Economics Policy & Planning
学科分类：	交通运输经济
摘要：	This paper presents a methodology to identify key priority areas for transport investments. The methodology uses a geospatial data-driven approach and then proposes an innovative economic analysis for project appraisal. The two main steps involve (i) prioritization of road interventions based on a set of economic, social, and risk reduction criteria; and (ii) assessment of monetized and nonmonetized costs and benefits of road interventions under many scenarios covering the uncertainty on future risks and other factors. This methodology is used at different stages of project preparation for a rural roads lending operation to the Government of Mozambique. In the two regions of Mozambique considered, the analysis prioritizes regions along the coast when combining agriculture, fisheries, poverty, network criticality, and hazard risk criteria. With a limited budget of US$15 million per district, the results show that investing in repairing and rehabilitating culverts and bridges is the intervention that performs better under most of the scenarios.
出版机构：	World Bank
完成日期：	2018-06-28T15:21:27Z
报告类型：	咨询报告
详细地址：	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/787411529606457222/Piloting-the-use-of-network-analysis-and-decision-making-under-uncertainty-in-transport-operations-preparation-and-appraisal-of-a-rural-roads-project-in-Mozambique-under-changing-flood-risk-and-other-deep-uncertainties
资源类型：	科技（咨询、行业）报告
初始创建时间：	2018-06-29T05:14:43Z