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原文传递 Safety Performance of Combinations of Traffic and Roadway Cross-Sectional Design Elements at Straight and Curved Segments
题名: Safety Performance of Combinations of Traffic and Roadway Cross-Sectional Design Elements at Straight and Curved Segments
其他题名: Aarts,L.,and van Schagen,I.,2006."Driving speed and the risk of road crashes:A review."Accid.Anal.Prev.,38(2),215–224.
正文语种: 英文
作者: Juneyoung Park
关键词: Crash modification factors;Generalized nonlinear models;Cross-sectional method;Shoulder and lane widths;Traffic volume
摘要: This study develops various crash modification factors (CMFs) for combinations of traffic and roadway cross-sectional elements at noncurved (i.e., straight) and curved roadway sections using the cross-sectional method. Generally, a CMF estimates the expected changes in crash frequency after a single specific treatment is implemented on a roadway. The results indicate that increasing lane width, increasing shoulder width, and their combination are safety effective in reducing crash frequency in general. In particular, it was found that crash frequency decreases as the lane width increases until 3.51 m (11.5 ft) width and it increases as the lane width exceeds 3.51 m. The crash rates start to decrease again after 3.81 m (12.5 ft). The results also indicate that the developed nonlinearizing link function derived nonlinear relationship between crash rates and lane width, and this relationship was clearly reflected in the generalized nonlinear models (GNMs). Moreover, there is a significant interaction impact between lane and shoulder widths at segments with a horizontal curve whereas the interaction term is not significant at noncurved segments. It was also found that the CMFs for increasing lane and shoulder widths are decreasing as annual average daily traffic (AADT) level increases. Based on the findings from this study, it is recommended to apply the proposed methodology of utilizing the GNMs with interaction terms in the cross-sectional method to (1) estimate more accurate CMFs for single treatments and combinations of treatments and (2) reflect the nonlinearity of crash predictors and interaction impacts among variables.
出版年: 2017
论文唯一标识: P-72Y2017V143N06005
英文栏目名称: TECHNICAL PAPERS
doi: 10.1061/JTEPBS.0000033
期刊名称: Journal of Transportation Engineering
拼音刊名(出版物代码): P-72
卷: 143
期: 06
页码: 35-43
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