原文传递
Multicriteria Regression Approach to Modeling Urban Expansion in Greater Lagos, Nigeria
| 题名： | Multicriteria Regression Approach to Modeling Urban Expansion in Greater Lagos, Nigeria |
| 其他题名： | Abiodun,O.E.,Olaleye,J.B.,Olusina,J.O.,and Omogunloye,O.G.(2015)."The pattern and drivers of urban expansion in greater Lagos from 1984 to 2006."J.Environ.Sci.Res.Manage.,7(2),32-45. |
| 正文语种： | 英文 |
| 作者： | Oludayo Emmanuel Abiodun |
| 关键词： | effectiveness；partition；pans；lagos；expa；predict；evaluation；government；multi；structure |
| 摘要： | Detecting changes that have occurred in an area, identifying drivers of expansion, and the ability to predict future changes in expansion are important for long-term planning. Lagos (Nigeria) has experienced rapid expansion and many factors can be offered to contribute to its sprawling. The aim of this study is to develop a multivariate model for urban expansion in Greater Lagos for which a set of 14 drivers of expansion is considered in a multinucleic structure. The study area was partitioned into 25 regular cells of 20 × 25 km each. A sequence of images of the study area for 1984, 2001, 2006, and 2013 was acquired and processed into six land-use classes. Empirical data for the evaluation of each driver were acquired from relevant government agencies and through a field survey. Coefficients of the multicriteria model were derived using a stepwise linear regression analysis. The effectiveness of each driver was tested at a significant level of α ¼ 0.05.@@Predicted results suggest that urban expansion will increase by 56％ in 2030. The observed rate of expansion may form the basis for a new policy on land reform in Lagos. DOI: 10.1061/(ASCE)UP.1943-5444.0000389. © 2017 American Society of Civil Engineers. |
| 出版年： | 2017 |
| 论文唯一标识： | P-84Y2017V143N03009 |
| 英文栏目名称： | TECHNICAL PAPERS |
| doi： | 10.1061/(ASCE)UP.1943-5444.0000389 |
| 期刊名称： | Journal of Urban Planning and Development |
| 拼音刊名(出版物代码)： | P-84 |
| 卷： | 143 |
| 期： | 03 |
| 页码： | 81-92 |
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