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原文传递 Risk-Based Prioritization of a Building Portfolio for Retrofit
题名: Risk-Based Prioritization of a Building Portfolio for Retrofit
其他题名: Artzner,P.,Delbaen,F.,Eber,J.M.,and Heath,D.(1999)."Coherent measures of risk."Math.Finance,9(3),203-228.
正文语种: 英文
作者: Hesam Talebiyan
关键词: Prioritization;Risk analysis;Local sensitivity analysis;Reliability methods;Probabilistic models;Building portfolio; Structural safety and reliability
摘要: This paper puts forward a risk-based approach to prioritize a portfolio of buildings for retrofit. A new set of local sensitivity measures is proposed to rank the buildings based on the optimal mitigation of risk to the entire portfolio. The proposed measures employ the derivative of various risk measures with respect to the cost of retrofit for each building. These risk measures are the mean and higher moments of the total portfolio cost probability distribution. The total portfolio cost comprises the construction cost due to retrofit and the repair cost due to damage. The proposed sensitivity measures quantify the reduction of risk to the entire portfolio per dollar spent on retrofitting each building. They provide the flexibility to prioritize under risk-neutrality and risk-aversion. To quantify the risk, reliability methods were employed in which many interacting probabilistic models evaluate the costs. The proposed methodology was applied to prioritizing 114 masonry school buildings in Iran for seismic retrofit. To this end, models were developed to predict the repair and the retrofit cost of masonry structures.
出版年: 2018
论文唯一标识: P-26Y2018V144N01010
英文栏目名称: ANNIVERSARY PAPERS
doi: 10.1061/(ASCE)ST.1943-541X.0001927
期刊名称: Journal of Structural Engineering
拼音刊名(出版物代码): P-26
卷: 144
期: 01
页码: 99-110
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