原文传递
Development of Return Period Stillwater Floodplains for the Northern Gulf of Mexico under the Coastal Dynamics of Sea Level Rise
| 题名： | Development of Return Period Stillwater Floodplains for the Northern Gulf of Mexico under the Coastal Dynamics of Sea Level Rise |
| 正文语种： | 英文 |
| 作者： | Matthew V. Bilskie, Ph.D.1; S. C. Hagen, Ph.D., P.E., D.WRE, F.ASCE2; J. L. Irish, Ph.D., P.E., F.ASCE3 |
| 作者单位： | 1Research Scientist, Louisiana State Univ., Center for Coastal Resiliency, 124B Sea Grant Hall, Baton Rouge, LA 70803 (corresponding author). 2Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering/Center for Computation and Technology, Louisiana State Univ., Baton Rouge, LA 70803; Professor, Louisiana State Univ., Center for Coastal Resiliency, 124B Sea Grant Hall, Baton Rouge, LA 70803. 3Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA 24061. |
| 关键词： | landscape；present；storm；development；scenarios；northern；exposure；mexico；flooding；dynamics |
| 摘要： | Rising seas increase the exposure, vulnerability, and thus the risk associated with hurricane storm surge flooding across the coastal floodplain. A methodology is applied to down select a suite of synthetic storms from recent flood insurance studies. The purpose is to force wind-wave and hurricane storm surge models of the northern Gulf of Mexico (NGOM) coast (Mississippi, Alabama, and the Florida Panhandle) that represent the future landscape and derive the 1 and 0.2% annual chance floodplain for present-day and four sea-level-rise (SLR) scenarios. Vast new regions become part of the 100-year floodplain by the end of the century. In Mississippi, the present-day 500-year return period event is likely to be the 100-year event under an SLR of 1.2m. Throughout most of Alabama and the Florida Panhandle, the present-day 500-year return period event becomes a 100-year event with just 0.5 m of SLR. Results indicate the need to apply a coastal dynamic modeling approach to plan and prepare for the effects of SLR across the NGOM and other low-gradient coastal landscapes. |
| 出版年： | 2019 |
| 期刊名称： | Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal, and Ocean Engineering |
| 卷： | 145 |
| 期： | 2 |
| 页码： | 1-14 |
相关文献
- TOP 20 TOOLS MOTOR 2017
- The Annual Review Of Waterways Events
- MOTOR’S TOP 20 TOOLS AWARDS
- TOP 20 TOOLS MOTOR 2020
- Eyeing the rise Assessing the effects of rising groundwater from sea-level rise on coastal road pavement
- Probabilistic Sea Level Rise Hazard Analysis Based on the Current Generation of Data and Protocols
检索历史
应用推荐
