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原文传递 A Ricardian Analysis of the Distribution of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture across Agro-Ecological Zones in Africa

题名：	A Ricardian Analysis of the Distribution of Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture across Agro-Ecological Zones in Africa
责任者：	Seo, S. Niggol<=>Mendelsohn, Robert<=>Dinar, Ariel<=>Hassan, Rashid<=>Kurukulasuriya, Pradeep
关键词：	Rural Development；Common Property Resource Development；Environment；Global Environment Facility；Transport and Environment；Poverty Reduction；Rural Poverty Reduction；Climate Change；Transport
学科分类：	交通运输规划与管理
摘要：	This paper examines the distribution of climate change impacts across the 16 agro-ecological zones in Africa using data from the Food and Agriculture Organization combined with economic survey data from a Global Environment Facility/World Bank project. Net revenue per hectare of cropland is regressed on a set of climate, soil, and socio-economic variables using different econometric specifications "with" and "without" country fixed effects. Country fixed effects slightly reduce predicted future climate related damage to agriculture. With a mild climate scenario, African farmers gain income from climate change; with a more severe scenario, they lose income. Some locations are more affected than others. The analysis of agro-ecological zones implies that the effects of climate change will vary across Africa. For example, currently productive areas such as dry/moist savannah are more vulnerable to climate change while currently less productive agricultural zones such as humid forest or sub-humid zones become more productive in the future. The agro-ecological zone classification can help explain the variation of impacts across the landscape.
出版机构：	World Bank
报告类型：	咨询报告
详细地址：	http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2008/04/9365569/ricardian-analysis-distribution-climate-change-impacts-agriculture-across-agro-ecological-zones-africa
资源类型：	科技（咨询、行业）报告
初始创建时间：	2008-04
最新修改时间：	2017-12-14T05:42:31Z