原文传递
Characteristic Analysis and Prediction of Traffic Accidents in the Multiethnic Plateau Mountain Area
| 题名： | Characteristic Analysis and Prediction of Traffic Accidents in the Multiethnic Plateau Mountain Area |
| 正文语种： | 英文 |
| 作者： | Zhongqi Yuan;Di Huang;Weiping Tong;Zhiyuan Liu |
| 作者单位： | School of Transportation, Jilin Univ |
| 摘要： | This paper analyzes the distribution characteristics and influencing factors of traffic accidents in the multiethnic-gathering plateau mountain area. Using data from an investigation of 56,651 accident records in Guiyang, China, in 2015, we analyze the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of accidents, and build a Gray Markov model to predict regional traffic accidents. Accident types of rear-end collisions and yielding not according to regulations are the most common ones in Guiyang, and the majority of these types of accidents occur along main roads and near commercial areas. Meanwhile, logistic regression analyses are applied to determine the correlations between road type, traffic flow type, and traffic accidents. It shows that road type and traffic flow type have no significant interactive impacts on accidents, while road type has a significant impact on the number of accidents. The accident distribution is more intensive in the northern part of the city where many ethnic groups gather together than others. Therefore, it is recommended that the traffic management department consider ethnic differences when improving traffic safety in this area. |
| 出版日期： | 2020.01 |
| 出版年： | 2020 |
| 期刊名称： | Journal of Transportation Engineering |
| 卷： | Vol.146 |
| 期： | No.08 |
| 页码： | 04020068 |
相关文献
- A Historical and Empirical Analysis of Deterrent Effects of Traffic Law Enforcement on Traffic Accidents
- Predicting duration of traffic accidents based on cost-sensitive Bayesian network and weighted K-nearest neighbor
- A COMPARATIVE STUDY OF ACCIDENT PATTERN AND CAUSES BEFORE AND DURING COVID-19 LOCKDOWN IN KERALA- DUE TO CHANGES IN TRAFFIC VOLUME AND COMPOSITION
- EFFECT OF SPEED ON ROAD ACCIDENTS
- EVALUATING THE IMPACT OF INCIDENT COLLISION ANGLE IN VEHICLE-TO-VEHICLE ACCIDENTS
- DEVELOPMENT OF ACCIDENT PREDICTION MODELS FOR SAFETY EVALUATION OF URBAN INTERSECTIONS
检索历史
应用推荐
