详情

原文传递 CAPITAL COSTS AND RIDERSHIP ESTIMATES OF PERSONAL RAPID TRANSIT.

题名：	CAPITAL COSTS AND RIDERSHIP ESTIMATES OF PERSONAL RAPID TRANSIT.
作者：	Yoder-SL; Weseman-SE; DeLaurentiis-J
关键词：	Automated-guideway-transit; Capital-costs; Communication-systems; Comparison-; Control-systems; Decision-making; Deployment-; Engineering-; Estimates-; Forecasting-; Guideways-; Maintenance-facilities; People-movers; Personal-rapid-transit; Power-; Project-management; Rail-transit-stations; Regression-analysis; Ridership-; Rosemont-Illinois; Vehicles-
摘要：	Preparing capital cost estimates for new transit technologies requires refining and refitting traditional estimation tools. The personal rapid transit (PRT) system project in Rosemont, Illinois--a suburb of Chicago near O'Hare International Airport--required (1) the development of estimates of PRT capital costs, (2) establishment of a reasonable cost range for the PRT system, and (3) an order-of-magnitude evaluation of existing cost projections. A method was developed to compare PRT system components (versus the entire system) with the components of existing automated-guideway transit (AGT) and automated people mover (APM) systems in North America. Seven components of the PRT, AGT and APM systems were examined: (1) guideways; (2) stations; (3) maintenance and control facilities; (4) power and utility systems; (5) vehicles; (6) command, control, and communications systems; and (7) engineering and project management. Three analysis techniques were used: (1) statistically significant regression analysis; (2) measurement of a central tendency for "comparable" systems; and (3) statistics from all AGT systems. The results show that the combination of the three techniques worked well for component-level studies and show promise for use in other cost analyses involving new technologies or application of existing technologies on a scale outside the bounds of previous experience. In addition to the cost study, a PRT ridership forecasting approach and projections were evaluated, providing another key element of decision support for potential PRT deployment in Rosemont.
总页数：	Transportation Research Record. 2000. (1704) pp58-67 (11 Fig., 5 Tab., 4 Ref.)
报告类型：	科技报告