原文传递 USE OF SCENARIO-BUILDING TRANSPORTATION MODEL FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES.
题名: USE OF SCENARIO-BUILDING TRANSPORTATION MODEL FOR DEVELOPING COUNTRIES.
作者: Khisty-CJ; Sriraj-PS
关键词: SCENARIOS-; TRANSPORTATION-MODELS; ALTERNATIVES-ANALYSIS; DEVELOPING-COUNTRIES; TRAVEL-DISTANCE; TRAVEL-TIME; MADRAS-INDIA; COSTS-; TRANSPORTATION-POLICY; NONMOTORIZED-TRANSPORTATION; TWO-WHEELED-MOTORIZED-VEHICLES; PUBLIC-TRANSIT; DECISION-MAKING
摘要: Scenario building is a technique used to evaluate a set of alternatives and give policy makers a quick tool for identifying which are politically viable. The transportation system hierarchy prevailing in a large metropolitan area in a developing country is examined using a scenario-building model. The model is bidimensional with two parameters: distance traveled and the value of time of persons using the transportation system. It is applied to metropolitan Madras (population 6 million) in India. Two scenarios are developed: first, using the perceived costs of various modes available in Madras, and second, using costs reflecting the changes that could arise as a result of policy changes. Results suggest that policy needs to be oriented toward promoting the use of nonmotorized modes, motorized two-wheelers, and public transit instead of emulating that of developed countries. This model and its results will be useful to decision makers in examining scenarios of their choice.
总页数: Transportation Research Record. 1996. (1563) pp16-25 (3 Fig., 5 Tab., 12 Ref.)
报告类型: 科技报告
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