详情

原文传递 THE OREGON STATEWIDE AND SUBSTATE TRAVEL FORECASTING MODELS.

题名：	THE OREGON STATEWIDE AND SUBSTATE TRAVEL FORECASTING MODELS.
作者：	Donnelly-R; Costinett-P; Upton-WJ
关键词：	Data-collection; Discrete-choice; Forecasting-; Land-use; Mathematical-models; Oregon-; Random-utility; Transportation-; Transportation-policy; Travel-demand
摘要：	The Oregon Department of Transportation has embarked upon a Transportation and Land Use Model Integration Program, designed to build a set of consistent and scalable analysis tools for studying the interaction of land use, transportation, and the environment. These models, which will operate at different spatial scales, are integrated models of land use and transportation. That is, they use consistent models of location and activity choice, as opposed to linked models of transportation and land use. Discrete choice and random utility concepts are employed throughout the model. While employed elsewhere in the world, models of this nature have only recently been attempted in the United States. The models described are aggregate models implemented in TRANUS, and are the first of their kind to be applied at the statewide and regional levels in North America. This paper focuses upon a statewide land use-transport model for Oregon, which has been recently implemented. It focuses primarily on intercity tripmaking, and takes into account the economic interaction between places within Oregon. The market for land is represented by demand functions for several categories of households, businesses, and public uses. These socioeconomic sectors interact through a social accounting matrix, which is an extension of the regional input-output model formulation. The paper describes the collection of the data required to implement the model, as well as their role in model estimation. The paper concludes with a discussion of the extension of the statewide model to the substate level in Oregon, integration with metropolitan models within the state, and ongoing research and development of both models.
总页数：	Conference Title: Statewide Travel Demand Forecasting. Location: Irvine, California. Sponsored by: Transportation Research Board Committee on Statewide Multimodal Transportation Planning. Held: 19981206-19981208. Transportation Research Circular. 1999/09
报告类型：	科技报告