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BUS TRANSPORTATION--A LOOK FORWARD.
| 题名： | BUS TRANSPORTATION--A LOOK FORWARD. |
| 作者： | Dockendorf-J; Levinson-HS; Fichter-D; Haghani-A; Hundenski-RJ; Prestrud-CE |
| 关键词： | BUS-TRANSIT; FORECASTING-; FUTURE-; RIDERSHIP-; TRENDS- |
| 摘要： | This paper attempts to predict the future role of bus transit. An examination of current and expected settlement and street patterns suggests that, as long as there is a need for automobiles and roadways, there will be a need for transit buses. The key issue is not whether bus transit will survive, but rather how it will function. Will it continue the decline that has occurred since World War II, or will trends and policies evolve in the 21st century that are more favorable to its use? In the early part of the new millennium, many of the trends that began after World War II, such as the decline of central cities, the growth of suburbs, the dispersion of employment, and the increase in automobile ownership, will continue. As a result, bus transit ridership may continue to decline. However, a climate more favorable to bus transit will progressively emerge. There will be an increased desire to avoid congestion and suburban sprawl and to revitalize cities and alleviate air pollution. Although this revival is not likely to match the heyday of bus transit, bus transit ridership in the 21st century is likely to increase significantly. |
| 总页数： | Transportation in the New Millennium. 2000. pp6 |
| 报告类型： | 科技报告 |
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