摘要: |
FOR THE ECONOMICALLY CORRECT ESTABLISHMENT OF THE REQUIRED DEGREE OF DEVELOPMENT OF SECTIONS OF ROAD, FORECASTS OF FUTURE TRAFFIC DEVELOPMENT WHICH ARE AS SIGNIFICANT AS POSSIBLE ARE REQUIRED. IT IS THEREFORE INTENDED, BY SYSTEMATIC CONSIDERATION OF WELL-KNOWN FORECASTING METHODS AND THEIR CRITICAL EVALUATION BY AN ANALYSIS OF DEFINABLE STRUCTURAL DATA AND THEIR INFLUENCE ON TRAFFIC, TO DEVELOP A METHOD OF FORECASTING VEHICLE OWNERSHIP WHICH IS ADAPTED TO CONDITIONS. MOREOVER, BY TAKING AS A BASIS TRENDS HITHERTO, AND TAKING ACCOUNT OF THE INFLUENCES OF MILEAGES, JOURNEY DISTANCES, NUMBER OF JOURNEYS, JOURNEY PURPOSES AND OTHER INFLUENCING FACTORS, A METHOD OF FORECASTING TRAFFIC VOLUME DEVELOPMENT RELEVANT TO COST-SAVING TRAFFIC PLANNING IS TO BE DEVELOPED. |