详情

原文传递 price TRENDS

题名：	price TRENDS
正文语种：	eng
摘要：	Despite pandemic-influenced spikes in truckload rates, the business cycle prevails. Truckload data shows the trend most clearly. Here, three-month-moving-average trend lines hit bottom at negative 4.3% in May 2020. Seven months later, TL inflation was up at a 3.4% pace. One month later, January 2021, prices surged 6.4%. Meanwhile, LTL inflation rates peaked at 8% in August 2018, slowly drooped to a low point of negative 0.7% in July 2020, and pushed up to 0.4% in January 2021. Continuing the cycles, TL inflation rates are forecast to hit 11.5% in the second quarter of this year before slowing over the next year. LTL will peak at 5.9% in the final quarter of 2021 before ending next year at a 3% rate. As usual, the business cycle tea leaves in our airline price data is murky. Looking at U.S.-owned companies moving freight on chartered flights, the charts show a distinctive cycle. After sitting at a negative 2.7% low point in October 2019, the three-month-moving-average price change peaked at 8% in November 2020. By January 2021, the inflation rate settled at 3.5%. Alas, in the scheduled airfreight market, the transaction price data move in a much more sedate fashion. Last year, prices peaked at 4.2% in August and then registered a price decline of one-tenth of 1 % in November. Looking ahead, these prices are forecast to rise 1.2% in 2021 and 0.5% in 2022.
出版年：	2021
期刊名称：	Logistics Management
卷：	60
期：	3