摘要: |
The shortage in the number of truck drivers is expected to deepen in the U.S. by the year 2026 in a development that subsequently will influence rates, according to Beroe Inc., a North Carolina-based provider of procurement intelligence and supplier compliance solutions. There are approximately 63,000 vacant truck-driving jobs in the bulk tanker market today, the company said, and the global tanker trucks market is predicted to need 174,000 new truckers by 2026. This kind of decline affects rates due to a capacity shortage. But the new drivers are coming up, which could radically help balance the short-term market in 2020-21. In comparison to Class 1 railroads, which employed approximately 165,000 people in 2017, the trucking industry employed more than 1.8 million drivers, a number 10 times higher. The American Trucking Associations estimates the current driver shortage of 63,000 could surge significantly in the next five years unless intervened with proper steps. The first cause for the shortage is demography. In the U.S., bulk tanker market trends show truck drivers tend to be about seven years older than normal American labor. As they retire, it becomes difficult to replace them because the younger workforce always is looking for less-demanding careers, particularly in other industries. The working conditions are difficult, and there is competition, resulting in a high attrition rate that exceeds 100%, which has resulted in an increased cost and rate for shippers. There have been recent changes in rules that also come with electronic logging devices (ELDs), mandating the number of hours the driver must be on the road. |