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Treatment of Induced Traffic
| 题名： | Treatment of Induced Traffic |
| 责任者： | Mackie, Peter；Nellthorp, John；Laird, James |
| 关键词： | Transport — Airports and Air Services；Urban Development — Transport in Urban Areas；Roads and Highways；Urban Transport；Rural Roads and Transport；Rural Development |
| 学科分类： | 公路运输 |
| 摘要： | Induced traffic can be an important part of the economic appraisal particularly when the objective of the investment is to stimulate economic development; it's importance, however, is not restricted to such situations. The omission of induced traffic from the economic appraisal, or its incorrect treatment, may lead to either over or underestimations in the user benefits (consumer surplus) of an investment. In addressing this issues, this note, considers: the importance of induced traffic for the economic appraisal (Section 1); what constitutes induced traffic (Section 2); the situations in which induced traffic is likely to be relevant (Section 3) and the manner in which it can be modeled (Section 4) and user benefits calculated when it is present (Section 5). The annexes show the relative importance of including the benefits of induced traffic in the evaluation of an urban transport project; where the standard "rule of one half" breaks down in some situations that are often present in Bank projects, while another shows a numeric integration technique that can be used as a valid alternative to the rule of one half in many of these situations (and coincidently, provides a more precise evaluation even where the "rule of one half" gives an acceptable estimation). |
| 出版机构： | World Bank |
| 完成日期： | 2012-08-13T16:03:02Z |
| 报告类型： | 咨询报告 |
| 详细地址： | http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2005/01/6376794/treatment-induced-traffic |
| 资源类型： | 科技（咨询、行业）报告 |
| 初始创建时间： | 2017-12-13T12:07:20Z |
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