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Waiting Decision Behavior of Commuters for Bus Transits Based on Prospect Theory
| 题名： | Waiting Decision Behavior of Commuters for Bus Transits Based on Prospect Theory |
| 正文语种： | eng |
| 作者： | Chen, Liang;Ma, Zhenjie;Li, Qiaoru;Zhen, Qiang |
| 作者单位： | Hebei Univ Technol Coll Civil Engn & Transportat Xiping St Tianjin 300401 Peoples R China;Hebei Univ Technol Coll Civil Engn & Transportat Xiping St Tianjin 300401 Peoples R China;Hebei Univ Technol Coll Civil Engn & Transportat Xiping St Tianjin 300401 Peoples R China;Hebei Univ Technol Coll Civil Engn & Transportat Xiping St Tianjin 300401 Peoples R China |
| 摘要： | Aiming to analyze the waiting decision behavior of commuters for bus transits at a bus station of departure during morning peak hours, this paper builds a bus-waiting decision model based on the prospect theory, with consideration of commuters' total travel costs comprehensively. Taking the total costs of taxi carpooling for individuals as the reference point for travel costs, the travel prospect value models of commuters choosing K-1 bus and K-2 bus were established, respectively. The results of the numerical example show that the best choice of commuters is closely related to the bus departure interval and the in-vehicle travel time. This paper constructs a two-variable dynamic selection model to explore the decision-making behavior of commuters, with bus departure intervals and in-vehicle travel times as core variables. The research result can help the public transportation management department adjust departure intervals, as well as improve the commuters' travel satisfaction and the utilization efficiency of the public transportation system. (C) 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers. |
| 出版年： | 2021 |
| 期刊名称： | Journal of Transportation Engineering |
| 卷： | 147 |
| 期： | 4 |
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