摘要: |
Rail traffic has increased substantially over the last 25 years and the railroad traffic has never been as extensive as now. This has contributed to a sometimes high capacity utilization, which in turn has led to repeated delays and capacity constraints on certain routes at certain times of the day. The demand for rail transport is increasing and punctuality is a crucial factor for the railway. An important challenge is to meet society's demands for timely travel and transport in a congested network. By predicting the scattering effects of primary disturbance, the corrective maintenance can be more efficient and the impacts of disturbance can be minimized. A more effective management of primary disturbances can affect punctuality positively and save significant costs to society. The project's overall long-term goal is to develop methods to predict the average scattering effect for a sample of specific disturbance events and thereby support traffic management with tools for faster corrective maintenance and tools to minimize contagion. The project is a pilot study aimed to investigate the feasibility and suitable methods for a main study. The pilot study can be divided into the following main activities: interviews, literature review and case study. The case study involves a deeper analysis of a sample disturbance events for a specific location and a specific time period. The choice of disturbance events and the geographical boundaries of the case study will be determined after interviews with dispatchers, traffic planners and participants in the project "National Train Control", NTL. The interviews will highlight how primary disturbance events are handled at present and identify requests for improvements. |