详情

原文传递 Modeling Terrorism Risk to the Air Transportation System

题名：	Modeling Terrorism Risk to the Air Transportation System
责任者：	by Andrew R. Morral, Carter C. Price, David S. Ortiz, Bradley Wilson, Tom LaTourrette, Blake W. Mobley, Shawn McKay, Henry H. Willis
关键词：	Air Transportation, Critical Infrastructure Protection, Modeling and Simulation, Terrorism Risk Management, Transportation Security
学科分类：	交通运输规划与管理
摘要：	RAND evaluated a terrorism risk modeling tool developed by the Transportation Security Administration and Boeing to help guide program planning for aviation security. This tool — the Risk Management Analysis Tool, or RMAT — is used by TSA to estimate the terrorism risk-reduction benefits attributable to new and existing security programs, technologies, and procedures. RMAT simulates terrorist behavior and success in attacking vulnerabilities in the domestic commercial air transportation system, drawing on estimates of terrorist resources, capabilities, preferences, decision processes, intelligence collection, and operational planning. It describes how the layers of security protecting the air transportation system are likely to perform when confronted by more than 60 types of attacks, drawing on detailed blast and other physical modeling to understand the damage produced by different weapons and attacks, and calculating expected loss of life and the direct and indirect economic consequences of that damage. This report describes RAND's conclusions about the validity of RMAT for TSA's intended uses and its recommendations for how TSA should perform cost-benefit analyses of its security programs.
出版机构：	RAND
报告类型：	咨询报告
资源类型：	科技（咨询、行业）报告
初始创建时间：	2012