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Market Models for Predicting PHEV Adoption and Diffusion.
| 题名： | Market Models for Predicting PHEV Adoption and Diffusion. |
| 作者： | W. McManus; R. Senter; |
| 关键词： | electric vehicles,fuel economy,hybrid vehicles,plug-in hybrid electric vehicle(phev);technology diffusion, consumer behavior;consideration-purchase model |
| 摘要： | This is the final report on market models for predicting Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEV) adoption. The work was one of the tasks carried out by the University of Michigan on the technical challenges of PHEVs and impacts to the U.S. power system. We first examine benchmark market models with fixed saturation levels. On balance, we conclude that their weaknesses dominate their strengths. We then examine two alternative approaches to predicting PHEV adoption and diffusion using models without a fixed saturation level: Centrone et al. (2007) and the consideration-purchase model (suggested by Struben and Sterman (2008)). The consideration-purchase model makes the market behavior of consumers the focus of attention, and it is our preferred market model. / Supplementary Notes: Sponsored by Department of Energy, Washington, DC. / Availability Note: Order this product from NTIS by: phone at 1-800-553-NTIS (U.S. customers); (703)605-6000 (other countries); fax at (703)605-6900; and email at orders@ntis.gov. NTIS is located at 5301 Shawnee Road, Alexandria, VA, 22312, USA. |
| 报告类型： | 科技报告 |
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