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原文传递 Exploratory Study of Modeling Enroute Pilot Convective Storm Flight Deviation Behavior.

题名：	Exploratory Study of Modeling Enroute Pilot Convective Storm Flight Deviation Behavior.
作者：	DELAURA, R. A.; EVANS, J. E.
关键词：	storm；behavior；modeling；lora；route；pilot；study；light；flig；statistics
摘要：	This report presents the results of the Convective Storm Flight Deviation study, funded by the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Strategic Airspace Usage (SAU) project under Air Force Contract No. FA8721-05-C-0002. A quantitative model to predict pilot deviations around convective weather in enroute airspace was developed, based on the analysis of weather encountered along planned and actual flight trajectories in two different ARTCCs (Indianapolis (ZID) and Cleveland (ZOB)). 'Deviation' was defined by analyzing differences between planned and actual trajectories during a 24-hour period in which no significant weather was present. An automated algorithm as developed to classify trajectories as weather penetrations or weather-related deviations. The results were verified by an analyst with extensive experience in air traffic control operations during convective weather. Verified detection results and associated weather statistics provided input to statistical classification algorithms used to generate the deviation model. More than 800 flight trajectories on five different days were analyzed. The study also presents an analysis of 24 'avoidance distances'-minimum distance between a deviating flight trajectory and the boundary of a particular weather feature-associated with more than 200 deviations. Weather penetration statistics are also presented for all five case days.
报告类型：	科技报告