详情

原文传递 price TRENDS

题名：	price TRENDS
正文语种：	eng
摘要：	The trucking industry's transaction price data underwent a big revision by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Instead of a 1% price decline in January, the latest survey estimates that prices fell a sharper 3.4%. That was followed by another 0.8% price cut in February. Thus, the takeoff point for our trend forecast is starting much lower. The cyclical shape of the forecast remains the same with the final quarter of 2023 reaching a trough, but the average annual inflation rate for 2023 is predicted to be negative 3.3% instead of positive 0.4%. Truckload will bear the brunt of price cuts, with its price index down more than 9%, while LTL tags will be flat or slightly positive this year. With post-pandemic fleets being reconfigured back to flying passengers instead of hauling freight, the industry outlook looks as cloudy as ever. Uncertainty plagues the U.S. government price surveys as well. Transaction prices for airfreight service on scheduled fights had been reported to be up 2.2% this past January. Now, however, surveys of U.S. companies say prices inched up 0.4%. Like trucking with its own Big Data revision, a new takeoff point caused the 2023 forecast to be revised downward too. Instead of declining 3.7%, the average annual inflation rate for flying freight in the belly of a plane is now predicted to decline 6.3% in 2023. Next year, the price index is expected to increase 4.8%.
出版年：	2023
期刊名称：	Logistics Management
卷：	62
期：	4
页码：	8-8