原文传递
I'm 95.4% confident you'll like this
| 题名： | I'm 95.4% confident you'll like this |
| 正文语种： | eng |
| 作者： | Glenn Lyons |
| 摘要： | False precision I understand to be the offering up of analytical results that are presented, knowingly or not, to a level of precision that is simply not warranted or justifiable and which may mislead the unwary recipient. It drives me mad. Let me get straight into this with some examples. Here's a real howler for starters: The global mobility as a service (maas) market size is expected to grow from USD 4362.60m in 2022 to USD 94035.41 m by 2033.' Yes folks, emerging from a pandemic it is possible to be confident to seven significant figures looking a decade into the future. I have a theory - the bigger the day rate charged for soothsaying like this, the more significant figures you get. Here's a beauty I heard at a UK transport conference recently: 'The benefits could range from £308m to £804m.' Dang, these guys are good; I mean, perish the thought of saying 'somewhere between about £300m and £800m; we're not really sure.' |
| 出版年： | 2023 |
| 期刊名称： | Highways |
| 卷： | 92 |
| 期： | 9 |
| 页码： | 12-12 |
检索历史
应用推荐
