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Future Fuel Scenarios and Their Potential Impact to Aviation.
| 题名： | Future Fuel Scenarios and Their Potential Impact to Aviation. |
| 作者： | Hendricks-R.C.; Daggett-D.L.; Anast-P.; Lowery-N. |
| 关键词： | scenarios；future；tial；impact；tent；volatility；alternative；projection；rice；different |
| 摘要： | In recent years fuel prices have been growing at a rapid pace. Current conservative projections predict that this is only a function of the natural volatility of oil prices, similar to the oil price spikes experienced in the 1970s. However, there is growing concern among analysts that the current price increases may not only be permanent, but that prices may continue to increase into the future before settling down at a much higher level than today. At high enough fuel prices, the aircraft industry would become very sensitive to fuel price. In this paper, the likelihood of fuel price increase is considered in three different price increase scenarios: "low," "medium," and "high." The impact of these scenarios on the aviation industry and alternatives are also addressed. |
| 报告类型： | 科技报告 |
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