摘要: |
U.S. Gulf of Mexico oil production is expected to again cross the 2 million bbl/d threshold and reach a new high in 2022, abetted by three major deepwater developments set to deliver first oil. On Jan. 14, Wood Mackenzie projected that the Gulf will average roughly 2.3 million barrels of oil equivalent a day (boe/d), surpassing the previous record of around 2 million bbl/d that the Department of Energy (DOE) documented in August 2019. Operators closed out a stormy 2021 with estimated production of just over 1.76 million bbl/d. The damage caused by Hurricane Ida sank Gulf production to a 10-year monthly low of 1.064 million bbl/d last September. Among the new fields coming on line, Shell, after a one-year Covid-in-duced delay, is ready to start production on the Mississippi Canyon Vito field in 4,000' of water, which is expected to reach estimated peak production of 100,000 boe/d around 2024. On Dec. 8, Shell added another discovery to its leading deepwater portfolio with the Blacktip North well in the prolific Per-dido Corridor. The prospect is one of 12 deepwater discoveries Gulf operators recorded in 2021, according to S&P Global Platts Analytics. "We could potentially see more finds and final investment decisions next year [2022]," Sami Yahya, Platts senior energy analyst-supply and production, said. "U.S. Gulf operators still have a healthy appetite for exploration, particularly as crude prices remain robust." |