原文传递
Are Rural Road Investments Alone Sufficient to Generate Transport Flows? Lessons from a Randomized Experiment in Rural Malawi and Policy Implications
| 题名： | Are Rural Road Investments Alone Sufficient to Generate Transport Flows? Lessons from a Randomized Experiment in Rural Malawi and Policy Implications |
| 责任者： | Raballand, Gael；Thornton, Rebecca；Yang, Dean；Goldberg, Jessica；Keleher, Niall；Muller, Annika |
| 关键词： | Urban Development；Transport in Urban Areas；Urban Transport；Macroeconomics and Economic Growth；Markets and Market Access；Transport Economics Policy and Planning；Rural Roads and Transport；Rural Development；Transport |
| 学科分类： | 城市公共交通 |
| 摘要： | This paper draws lessons from an original randomized experiment in Malawi. In order to understand why roads in relatively good condition in rural areas may not be used by buses, a minibus service was subsidized over a six-month period over a distance of 20 kilometers to serve five villages. Using randomly allocated prices for use of the bus, this experiment demonstrates that at very low prices, bus usage is high. Bus usage decreases rapidly with increased prices. However, based on the results on take-up and minibus provider surveys, the experiment demonstrates that at any price, low (with high usage) or high (with low usage), a bus service provider never breaks even on this road. This can contribute to explain why walking or cycling is so widespread on most rural roads in Sub-Saharan Africa. In terms of policy implications, this experiment explains that motorized services need to be subsidized; otherwise a road in good condition will most probably not lead to provision of service at an affordable price for the local population. |
| 出版机构： | World Bank |
| 完成日期： | 2011-01 |
| 报告类型： | 咨询报告 |
| 资源类型： | 科技（咨询、行业）报告 |
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