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Understanding Urban Growth and Shrinkage From a Multiscale Perspective: Case Study of Jilin Province, China
| 题名： | Understanding Urban Growth and Shrinkage From a Multiscale Perspective: Case Study of Jilin Province, China |
| 正文语种： | eng |
| 作者： | Zuopeng Ma;Chenggu Li;Jing Zhang;Daqian Liu;Yao Tong;Wei Liu |
| 作者单位： | Chinese Academy of Sciences;Northeast Normal Univ.;Northeast Normal Univ.;Chinese Academy of Sciences;Northeast Normal Univ.;Northeast Normal Univ. |
| 关键词： | Multiscale space;Urban growth;Urban shrinkage;Characteristics;Causes;Jilin Province |
| 摘要： | Abstract The development statuses of cities are intimately associated with their spatial scales. Multiscale trajectories of cities are lenses through which can be discerned the pattern and tendency of regional development. In this paper, using comparisons of demographic and economic development, geographic detectors, and hierarchical logistic regressions, we examine the evolutionary characteristics and influential factors of multiscale urban development in Jilin Province, China. The findings show that alongside the “top-down” transformations of the spatial scales, the typologies of urban development tend to diversify. Economic and political factors played key roles in the divergence of growth and shrinkage of prefecture-level, while natural and social factors had strong effects on the divergence between growth and shrinkage of county-level cities and small towns. Moreover, urban development has demonstrated scale connection: towns under the jurisdictions of absolutely growing county-level cities are likely to be subjected to smart shrinkage; towns under the jurisdictions of smartly growing county-level cities are prone to potential shrinkage; towns under the jurisdictions of absolutely shrinking county-level cities are at risk of absolute shrinkage. Our findings recommend that regional policies take multiscale spaces into account to capture regularity of regional development. |
| 出版年： | 2023 |
| 期刊名称： | Journal of Urban Planning and Development |
| 卷： | 149 |
| 期： | 2 |
| 页码： | 05023006.1-05023006.12 |
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