详情

原文传递 Probabilistic Tsunami Damage Assessment for Structural Mitigation Policy Guidance

题名：	Probabilistic Tsunami Damage Assessment for Structural Mitigation Policy Guidance
正文语种：	eng
作者：	Patrick Lynett;Nicholas Graehl;Jason Patton;Jacqueline Bott;Rick Wilson;Tim McCrink
作者单位：	Univ. of Southern California Los Angeles CA 90089;California Geological Survey Sacramento CA 95814;California Geological Survey Sacramento CA 95814;California Geological Survey Sacramento CA 95814;California Geological Survey Sacramento CA 95814;California Geological Survey Sacramento CA 95814
摘要：	Some areas of the California coast have physical conditions-such as local bathymetry, topography, shoreline orientation, and other factors-that increase the risk for damage from tsunami inundation compared with other regions. Technical tsunami hazard analyses can inform decision-makers on regional planning and policy decisions. In this paper, we focus on recent efforts in California to delineate various tsunami hazard zones along the coastline under the Seismic Hazard Mapping Act, wherein structural mitigation measures will be recommended. To define the zone wherein structural mitigation measures are recommended, we present a state-wide tsunami reliability analysis that combines existing probabilistic hazard information and structure fragility curves derived from recent events. We examine design-life chances of significant structural damage for various structure types along all developed coastlines throughout California and use this analysis to show how hazard and risk have different correlations throughout the State. Finally, we outline an approach for creating mitigation zones, which provides state-wide tsunami risk consistency for all structures in the tsunami inundation zone.
出版年：	2023
期刊名称：	Journal of Waterway, Port, Coastal and Ocean Engineering
卷：	149
期：	5
页码：	04023014.1-04023014.8