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Economic Analysis of the Transition of a Contingency Military Installation to an Enduring Status Using Monte Carlo Simulations.
| 题名： | Economic Analysis of the Transition of a Contingency Military Installation to an Enduring Status Using Monte Carlo Simulations. |
| 作者： | Amedee, R. M. |
| 关键词： | Bare bases, Budgets, Command and control, Cost models, Engineering, Afghanistan conflict, Construction, Cost analysis, Department of defense, Engineers, Investments, Iraqi-war, Maintenance, Monte carlo method, United states central command, Warfare, Databases, Economic analysis, Air force, Civil engineering, Expeditionary, Contingency operations, Expeditionary base development, Construction standards |
| 摘要： | The construction of expeditionary bases is central to Department of Defenses (DoD) responses to contingency operations.Usually expected to be transitory, expeditionary bases are constructed with temporary materials that can be erected quickly.The Global War on Terrorism is entering its fifteenth year and bases within Central Command that were expected to betemporary have provided an enduring presence. The decision to transition a base from temporary to semi-permanent orpermanent is difficult, as it requires substantial capital investment for facility construction. This decision is furthercomplicated by unknown mission durations. The DoD has attempted to reduce the decisions complexity with a model thatguides the development of a base with a set of construction standards with suggested time horizons. This study improves themodel by evaluating its validity through an economic analysis with the assumption that mission durations are unknown. Alife-cycle cost model is developed to evaluate investments in temporary and permanent construction designs to determinewhen or if permanent construction is fiscally advantageous. Despite limitations in the availability in cost data, the resultsshow that semi-permanent construction is preferable for contingency operations lasting up to twelve years, while permanentconstruction is preferable after twelve years. |
| 报告类型： | 科技报告 |
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