原文传递
MODERNIZING USAF ESCALATION CONTROL.
| 题名： | MODERNIZING USAF ESCALATION CONTROL. |
| 作者： | Gamel, J. L. |
| 关键词： | Escalation control theory, Escalation control ladders, Data collection, Data analysis |
| 摘要： | This Graduate Research Project (GRP) will assess how the United States Air Force (USAF) can implement escalation control operations. Escalation control theory models were once capable of predicting escalation with an accuracy up to 98%. However, the study of escalation control stagnated after the end of the Cold War. This GRP strives to revisit escalation control in two major phases. First, a qualitative literature review regarding escalation control and nuclear deterrence is used to formulate a qualitative interview question set aimed at a broad ‘Whole of Government’ research base. This interview pool includes senior leaders and experts across the Department of Defense (DoD), Department of Energy (DoE), and the US Government. The qualitative research interview combines the top ten escalation control principles found in the literature, and attempts to detect post-Cold War changes in escalation control dynamics. In the second phase of this study, quantitative analysis will be utilized to establish which areas of escalation control the USAF can improve upon. The areas of improvement recommended by this research include; 1) building more confidence in adversary behavior modeling, 2) auditing conventional plans for adversary nuclear thresholds, and 3) introduction of nuclear escalation control objectives into conventional Mission Type Orders (MTO). |
| 报告类型： | 科技报告 |
相关文献
- Modernizing Freight Rail Regulation
- Using Linked Data to Evaluate Collisions with Fixed Objects in Pennsylvania: Crash Outcome Data Evaluation System (CODES) Linked Data Demonstration Project; Final technical rept. 1997-98
- Auto-Xchange.Com, Moving to Covisint, E Business for the Auto Business
- Guidance for Cost Estimation and Management for Highway Projects During Planning, Programming, and Preconstruction. Final Report for NCHRP Report 574.
- Federal Aviation Administration: Challenges in Modernizing the Agency
- The Past and Future of U.S. Passenger Rail Service
检索历史
应用推荐
