摘要: |
The successful commercialization of PEM fuel cells in transportation markets requires that the technology be competitive with internal combustion engine powertrains with regard to performance and cost, while meeting efficiency and emissions targets. TIAX has been working with the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) since the late 1990s to assess the cost of PEM fuel cell systems using near-term technology as a basis, but cost modeled at high-production volumes. Integral to this effort has been the development of a system configuration in conjunction with Argonne National Laboratories (ANL), the specification of performance parameters and catalyst requirements, the development of representative component designs and manufacturing processes for these components, and the development of a comprehensive bill of materials and list of purchased components. The model, data, component designs, and results have been refined on the basis of comments from the FreedomCAR Technical Team and fuel cell system and component developers. In 2005, the cost of an 80 kW direct hydrogen fuel cell system was assessed relative to the DOE 2005 target of $125/kW. This system includes the fuel cell stack and balance-of-plant (BOP) components for water, thermal, and fuel management. Hydrogen storage is not included in this target. In this report, we provide a comprehensive description of the assumptions, approach, and final results of the 2005 PEMFC costing effort. The results of sensitivity and Monte Carlo analyses on components and the overall system are presented including the most important cost factors and the uncertainty in the fuel cell system cost projection given the model assumptions. The effects of selected scenarios on the fuel cell system cost ($/kW) were assessed, including the effect of platinum price and the effect of individual component markups on overall system cost. The results of these analyses are presented and their implications discussed. |