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原文传递 Feasibility Evaluation Model for Toll Highways. Research rept.

题名：	Feasibility Evaluation Model for Toll Highways. Research rept.
作者：	MCCULLOUGH, B. F.; SANCHEZ, R. M. A.; TUCKER, R. L.
关键词：	Transportation-models; Toll-highways; *Toll-roads.;Development-; Feasibility-evaluation-models; Computer-models; Financial-feasibility; Risk-analysis; Financial-risk; Financial-analysis.
摘要：	This report describes the development of a Feasibility Evaluation Model for Toll Highways (FEMTH). FEMTH is a financial feasibility and risk analysis computer model developed to assess the degree of financial risk associated with a toll highway project in the pre-project planning stage. The model incorporates the use of simulation through a spreadsheet add-in that enables probabilistic risk analyses of the most important variables that affect the financial outcome of a toll highway project. The major contributions of this study are: (1) the development of a toll highway pre-project planning tool that integrates probabilistic risk analysis and simulation concepts that were not of practical use before into an affordable and easy to use computer model, and (2) a conceptual and mathematical representation of the major variables that affect the financial outcome of a toll highway project and their interaction.
报告类型：	科技报告