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Useful Prediction of Climate Extreme Risk for Texas Oklahoma at 4-6 Years.
| 题名： | Useful Prediction of Climate Extreme Risk for Texas Oklahoma at 4-6 Years. |
| 作者： | Wang, S. S. |
| 关键词： | Floods, Hurricanes, Oklahoma, Texas, Risk analysis, Weather forecasting, Predictions, Climate change, Frequency, Ecological and environmental phenomena, Hurricane tracking, Rainfall, Atmospheric precipitation, Flooding, El nino, Enso, Teleconnection, Flooding prediction, Flood risk, Cesm(community earth system model), Large ensemble project, Cmip(coupled model intercomparison project), Climate models, Hurricane harvey |
| 摘要： | This project tackles the challenge for predicting water-cycle extremes in Texas and Oklahoma as severe as the 2015 and 2016 floods beyond seasonal timescale. The projects main objectives were (i) tracking the 4-6-year ENSO (El Nio- Southern Oscillation) and teleconnections and (ii) characterizing uncertainty in the 4-6-year prediction, testing the hypothesis that predictability within the reportedly strengthened 4-6-year ENSO cycle and its teleconnection can be extracted to provide extended outlook for extreme flood risk. |
| 报告类型： | 科技报告 |
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