原文传递 En Prospektiv Statistisk Modell foer Utvaerdering av Nollvisionens Infoerande i Svenska Kommuner (A Prospective Statistical Model to Monitor the Impact of the Vision Zero - A feasibility Study)
题名: En Prospektiv Statistisk Modell foer Utvaerdering av Nollvisionens Infoerande i Svenska Kommuner (A Prospective Statistical Model to Monitor the Impact of the Vision Zero - A feasibility Study)
作者: Fridstrom, L.; Tegner, G.
关键词: Statistical models##Traffic accidents##Road safety##Sweden##Monte-Carlo methods##Motor vehicle accidents##Safety measures##Feasibility studies##Cities##Urban development##Municipalities##Speed limits##Safety standards##Modeling##Foreign technology##Vision zero##
摘要: The municipalities of Sweden will implement the 'Vision Zero' of road safety at varying pace, by-e.g.-rebuilding the roads, lowering the speed limits, or enforcing safety standards in public agencies. The 'natural experiment' might pave and ground for a powerful, pooled cross-section/time-series analysis of road accidents and their determinants, by means of which the practical impact of the 'Vision Zero' should be estimable, with steadily increasing precision over time. The present feasibility study examines whether such a modeling approach would indeed be fruitful, and under what conditions statistically significant effect parameter estimates can be expected. As part of the feasibility study, a pseudo Monte-Carlo experiment has been carried out.
总页数: 56
报告类型: 科技报告
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