原文传递
Linking a San Pedro Bay Forecast to Regional Labor Markets. Final Report
| 题名： | Linking a San Pedro Bay Forecast to Regional Labor Markets. Final Report |
| 作者： | Monaco, K.; Yamashiro, G.; Shin, S. |
| 关键词： | Labor market##Economic forecasting##Transportation industry##Employment##Payroll##California##Ports##Containers##Trade routes##Cargo transportation##Economic impact##San Pedro Bay(California)## |
| 摘要： | Using time series forecasting techniques, we develop multiple forecasts of inbound container traffic through the San Pedro Bay Ports. These forecasts, combined with panel data labor market models, allow us to forecast the impact of declining freight volumes on total employment, transportation employment, and transportation payroll in Los Angeles and Orange Counties and the Inland Empire. We find that the decline in traffic is associated with a decline of nearly 330,000 jobs in 2009 and 147,000 jobs in 2010 in the 4-county region. Transportation employment is estimated to have declined by nearly 14,000 jobs in 2009 due to declining port activity and forecast to decline by another 5,000 in 2010. |
| 总页数： | 28 |
| 报告类型： | 科技报告 |
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