原文传递 Methodological Framework for Parametric Combat Analysis.
题名: Methodological Framework for Parametric Combat Analysis.
作者: Hayhurst, D. L. S.
摘要: This work presents a taxonomic structure for understanding the tension between certainfactors of stability for game-theoretic outcomes such as Nash optimality, Pareto optimality,and balance optimality and then applies such game-theoretic concepts to the advancementof strategic thought on spacepower. This work successfully adapts and applies combatmodeling theory to the evaluation of cislunar space conflict. This work provides evidencethat the reliability characteristics of small spacecraft share similarities to the reliabilitycharacteristics of large spacecraft. Using these novel foundational concepts, thisdissertation develops and presents a parametric methodological framework capable ofanalyzing the efficacy of heterogeneous force compositions in the context of space warfare.This framework is shown to be capable of predicting a stochastic distribution of numericaloutcomes associated with various modes of conflict and parameter values. Furthermore,this work demonstrates a general alignment in results between the game-theoretic conceptsof the framework and Media Interaction Warfare Theory in terms of evaluating forceefficacy, providing strong evidence for the validity of the methodological frameworkpresented in this dissertation.
总页数: 139 pages
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