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原文传递 Using Stated Preference Approach as a Tool of Transportation Planning and Policy Analysis:Theory and Applications
题名: Using Stated Preference Approach as a Tool of Transportation Planning and Policy Analysis:Theory and Applications
正文语种: 中文
作者: Junyi Zhang Akimasa Fujiwara
作者单位: Transportation Engineering Laboratory,Graduate School for International evelopment and ooperation,Hiroshima University
关键词: 交通规划 叙述性偏好 政策分析 交通政策
摘要: Transportation planners need to understand people's responses in case of introducing new policies. Stated preference (SP) approach examines individual responses to a series of experimentally designed choice alternatives, which are typically described in terms of combinations of attributes with several pre-defmed levels. Besides the ability to directly measure the demand/response under not-yet-existing conditions, the SP approach is able to control statistical problems, to include qualitative factors as explanatory variables, and is cost-efficient to develop models from a relatively small size of samples. This paper first discusses some main methodological issues rela ted to the SP approach and then examines how to represent these issues in the context of policy analysis through several case studies including evaluation of sustainable urban form, prediction of new transit systems, analysis of effects of travel information provision, and assessment of amenity improvement in a neighborhood street. The case study areas cover both developed and developing cities. Finally, the paper argues the importance of using the SP approach as a tool of transportation planning and policy analysis, especially focusing on the uncertainty in the future caused by rapid change in soeio-economic, urban, and transportation environments in developing countries.
会议日期: 20050625
会议举办地点: 西安
会议名称: 第五届交通运输领域国际学术会议
出版日期: 2005-06-25
母体文献: 第五届交通运输领域国际学术会议论文集
分类号: U491.12
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