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原文传递 Research on Route-Choice Behavior of Unexpected-destination Trip under Random Dynamic Conditions

题名：	Research on Route-Choice Behavior of Unexpected-destination Trip under Random Dynamic Conditions
正文语种：	中文
作者：	Wang Xiao-yuan Zhang Jing-lei Wang Hai-bo Yin Chao Sun Liang
作者单位：	School of Transportation and Vehicle Engineering,Shandong University of Technology,Zibo 255049, hina
关键词：	Driver behavior Route choice Radiation field Discrete dynamic Bayesian network Uncertain inference unexpected-destination
摘要：	The study of route-choice behavior has been an important part of the study of urban-road transport system.In previous studies, the emergencies of the road network have been studied mostly from different angles under random dynamic conditions.But the condition of route-choice behavior of unexpected-destination trip was rarely mentioned.So in this paper,"unexpected radiation field" is put forward, at the same time, the characteristic of it is also studied.On the basis of this, route-choice behavior of unexpected-destination trip under random dynamic conditions is researched with a combination of "radiation field method" and discrete dynamic Bayesian network.Studies display that the location and important of the unexpected destination affect the route choice behavior closely.The simulation results show that, the model had a positive meaning, and enabled to simulate and reproduce the decision-making process more appropriately.
会议日期：	201511
会议举办地点：	成都
会议名称：	2015第二届智能交通国际会议
出版日期：	2015-10-31
母体文献：	2015第二届智能交通国际会议论文集