Dynamic Decision Modeling for Inland Waterway Disruptions
项目名称: Dynamic Decision Modeling for Inland Waterway Disruptions
摘要: The inland waterway system is a major component of the U.S. transportation system. Disruption on the inland waterway system can have widespread economic and societal impacts, and their consequences can be significant. However, the uncertainty associated with the disruptive events, such as extreme weather conditions, have made it difficult to determine whether it is optimal to stay on the water and wait for the locked traffic to clear, or it is more economical to redirect to rail or freight transportation. In order to facilitate decision making in the event of waterway closure under uncertainty, this research proposes a dynamic multi-criteria decision framework that can be used to find a timely and optimal solution for the greatest overall societal benefits. The potential contribution of this research is threefold: (1) this is the first study to incorporate uncertainty in the decision process when facing inland waterway disruption; (2) it proposes the idea of collaborative planning in the event of disruption when all stakeholders' decision goals are considered simultaneously; and (3) it develops a user-interactive real-time decision support tool that can automate the decision process and propose an optimal solution in a short period of time.
状态: Completed
资金: 236165.00
资助组织: University of Arkansas, Fayetteville<==>Research and Innovative Technology Administration
执行机构: University of Arkansas, Fayetteville
开始时间: 20140801
预计完成日期: 20161231
实际结束时间: 20161231
主题领域: Freight Transportation;Marine Transportation;Operations and Traffic Management;Planning and Forecasting
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