摘要: |
Because of scare financial resources and the abundance of urgently needed pipeline maintenance and repair projects, the prioritization of funding to these projects is a major issue that municipalities encounter everywhere, especially in Region 6. One way to optimize the limited resources allocated to operation and management of sanitary sewers is to consider probabilistic performance assessment, which provides a complete characterization of performance of structural elements and systems. The most widely employed probabilistic performance indicator is reliability, a measure of probability of failure relative to a particular limit state (e.g., ultimate strength or serviceability). Reliability methods can be used to identify which pipeline sections within a particular system require the most urgent inspection or repair. In order to apply the proposed approach to the RCPs in the city of Houston, the research team will work intensively with the Center for Structural Engineering Research/Simulation and Pipeline Inspection at UTA to obtain filtered, LIDAR data. From this filtered LIDAR data, a probability distribution representative of wall thickness loss at the time of inspection will be calculated. Next, this derived probability distribution will be integrated within a serviceability limit state that defines failure as the complete loss of concrete cover. Considering this limit state and a prescribed probability of exceedance threshold, a reliability-based prediction of the remaining service life will be determined. Advanced statistical techniques will also be used to convey the confidence of these predictions. Finally, an asset management report that outlines the location of the most vulnerable pipeline sections, will be created. The asset management report will provide decision makers crucial information regarding the current state of their city’s pipeline network. Although the approach developed can be applied to any municipality’s pipeline network, the capabilities of developed methodology will be elucidated through its application to Houston-area sanitary sewers. |