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原文传递 Forecasting Prooabnity of Tanker Accidents Using Logistic Regression Model
题名: Forecasting Prooabnity of Tanker Accidents Using Logistic Regression Model
正文语种: 中文
作者: 韓子建
关键词: Logistic regression model;Tanker accident;Total-loss
摘要: This study applied the logistic regression model to investigate the causes of serious oil tanker accidents. The statistical data was derived from the IMO's global integrated shipping information system from 1980 to 2010. The purpose of the study was to identify the actual risk factors for accidents that caused the total loss of the tanker. It was found that the type of the tanker and the type of accident were significantly related to the total accident loss. In particular, the sinking of a small tanker accident would lead to high risk of loss of assets. Therefore, the safety management of small oil tankers should focus on reducing the frequency of sinking caused by accidents; specifically, safety management strategies should be adopted to improve the maintenance of machinery and equipment; focus on personnel safety training.
期刊名称: 航运季刊
出版年: 2017
期: 12
页码: 103-119
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