摘要: |
This applied research program proposes to develop a modeling framework for vehicle ownership in the State of Maryland for use in the Maryland Statewide Transportation Model (MSTM). The modeling system aims to produce the tools needed to understand and predict consumers' preferences on vehicle ownership, as a function of socio-demographic, economic, transportation system, and land development characteristics. Econometric equations relying primarily on discrete choice methodologies (joint revealed and stated preference models) will be estimated from Maryland specific data. This framework can be used to test the outcomes of various future scenarios, including reaction to fuel efficiency, levels of congestion, land use policies, and changing economic conditions. It improves the capacity of MSTM by improving its ability to capture ownership, a key component of trip generation and mode choice, thus improving system planning capabilities for the state. |