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原文传递 New Powertrain Technologies and Their Projected Costs. Interim Report.

题名：	New Powertrain Technologies and Their Projected Costs. Interim Report.
关键词：	vehicle fuel economy, gasoline vehicle technologies, advanced diesel engines, gasoline electric hybrids, diesel electric hybrids
摘要：	This interim report projects the cost effectiveness, from a consumer perspective, of four technology strategies capable of improving new personal vehicle fuel economy over the next decade: packages of individual gasoline vehicle technologies, advanced diesel engines, gasoline electric hybrids, and diesel electric hybrids. These economic projections are based on a future high-volume scenario where economies-of-scale for these technologies are similar to those for conventional vehicles today. They do not account for the higher manufacturer and consumer costs during a transition period. Based on EPAs review of the technical literature, all of these technology packages are projected to increase personal vehicle retail cost, ranging from around $1000 for a gasoline vehicle package in a midsize car to about $6000 for a diesel electric hybrid in a large SUV. But, by increasing vehicle fuel economy by 20% to 70%, these technologies will also reduce vehicle operating costs (primarily fuel expenditures). This report projects the consumer payback period, i.e., how many years it takes for a consumer to recoup in discounted operating savings an amount equal to the higher initial cost of the vehicle. Based on a set of common economic assumptions, these technologies are projected to pay back to consumers in 2 to 11 years. Since all of these technologies pay back in less than the projected 14-year life of a vehicle, they would all provide net savings over a typical vehicle lifetime. These discounted lifetime savings range from $300 for one of the midsize car scenarios to over $4000 for some of the large SUV scenarios. In all cases, the payback period is shorter and the lifetime savings are greater when the advanced technologies are used in a large SUV rather than in a midsize car. / Supplementary Notes: See also PB2007-109511. / Availability Note: Product reproduced from digital image. Order this product from NTIS by: phone at 1-800-553-NTIS (U.S. customers); (703)605-6000 (other countries); fax at (703)605-6900; and email at orders@ntis.gov. NTIS is located at 5285 Port Royal Road, Springfield, VA, 22161, USA.
总页数：	u0716；81p
报告类型：	科技报告