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原文传递 Characterizing Heterogeneity among Merging Positions: Comparison Study between Random Parameter and Latent Class Accelerated Hazard Model
题名: Characterizing Heterogeneity among Merging Positions: Comparison Study between Random Parameter and Latent Class Accelerated Hazard Model
正文语种: eng
作者: Li, Gen;Yang, Zhen;Yu, Qifeng;Ma, Jianxiao;Fang, Song
作者单位: Nanjing Forestry Univ Coll Automobile & Traff Engn Nanjing 210037 Jiangsu Peoples R China;Nanjing Forestry Univ Coll Automobile & Traff Engn Nanjing 210037 Jiangsu Peoples R China;Shanghai Maritime Univ Coll Transport & Commun Shanghai 201306 Peoples R China;Nanjing Forestry Univ Coll Automobile & Traff Engn Nanjing 210037 Jiangsu Peoples R China;Nanjing Inst Railway Technol 65 Zhenzhu South Rd Nanjing 210031 Jiangsu Peoples R China
关键词: Merging position;Accelerated hazard model;Random parameter model;Latent class model
摘要: This study aims to build an accurate merging position model by incorporating heterogeneity into the accelerated hazard model based on random parameter and latent class models. Three kinds of distribution (Weibull, log-normal, and log-logistic) are compared. The Weibull distribution is found to outperform the others. The latent class accelerated hazard model better captures the unobserved heterogeneity among drivers. The data used in this study can be naturally segmented into two classes. The large class consists of about 80% of drivers and the estimation results are similar to fixed parameter and random parameter models. The smaller one contains drivers that only consider the subject vehicle's speed; these drivers merge rather late. Some of these drivers even merge into the adjacent main lane using the shoulder lane when they cannot find suitable gaps at the end of the auxiliary lane. Considering its good performance, the proposed latent class accelerated hazard model could also bring new insights into road design, such as the determination of the length of the acceleration lane or auxiliary lane.
出版年: 2021
期刊名称: Journal of Transportation Engineering
卷: 147
期: 6
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