Using Machine Learning Models to Forecast Electric Vehicle Destination and Charging Behavior
项目名称: Using Machine Learning Models to Forecast Electric Vehicle Destination and Charging Behavior
摘要: Electric vehicle (EV) adoption rates are rising in California because of successful state and federal air pollution mitigation regulations such as the Zero Emission Vehicle mandate, Low Emission Vehicle Regulation III for CA, the U.S. Greenhouse Gas Standard, U.S. Tier 3 Ozone Standard, and the Corporate Average Fuel Economy Standard. While this is a great feat for reducing local air pollution, improperly managed EV charging can lead to peak electricity demand loads that can strain local distribution networks and potentially increase point source emissions from power plants. Managed/smart charging is one of the most promising approaches to prevent suboptimal EV charging as it enables utility operators to control EV charging to reduce load spikes and take full advantage of renewable power. This study aims to develop a Recurrent Neural Network (RNN), an artificial neural network that is highly effective at learning sequential data such as trip logs, to forecast EVs’ trip destinations and charging behavior –information that is essential for electricity load aggregators to effectively manage charging loads. The RNN will be configured using a robust dataset, consisting of trips and charges that have occurred in California between 2015 and 2020 from 358 Plug-in Electric vehicles, spanning 9 models.
状态: Active
资金: 112,769
资助组织: Office of the Assistant Secretary for Research and Technology;National Center for Sustainable Transportation
管理组织: National Center for Sustainable Transportation<==>University of California, Davis
项目负责人: Iacobucci, Lauren
执行机构: National Center for Sustainable Transportation<==>University of California, Davis
主要研究人员: Nitta, Christopher;Tal, Gil
开始时间: 20221001
预计完成日期: 20230930
主题领域: Energy;Highways;Planning and Forecasting;Vehicles and Equipment
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