详情

The Effect of Shadow Evacuation in Megaregion Disasters: A Pilot Study

项目名称：	The Effect of Shadow Evacuation in Megaregion Disasters: A Pilot Study
摘要：	Strategic emergency plans are essential to protect the health and safety of the public under a disaster threat. The time to evacuate officially declared evacuation zones may be affected by the demand not only within these zones but also in lower-risk areas. This is because some proportion of the population in proximity to the official evacuation zones are also likely to evacuate. The evacuation of areas that do not receive an official evacuation notice is referred to as shadow evacuation. Shadow evacuation could increase the overall clearance times of declared evacuation zones (Weinisch and Brueckner, 2015) which is important to be considered during the emergency planning process. Although there is a raised awareness on the existence of shadow evacuation, further research is needed to better understand the impact of shadow evacuation on the clearance process as it pertains to the spatial-temporal distribution of shadow evacuations. Therefore, this research will use traffic simulation tools to assess the impact of shadow evacuation on the overall clearance time. This research is a pilot study conducted in a small portion of a megaregion. It is expected that future studies can build upon this research to include the simulation of entire megaregions and allow for strategic emergency planning guidance based on the potential impact of shadow evacuations in megaregions.
状态：	Completed
资金：	125400
资助组织：	University Transportation Center Program
管理组织：	University Transportation Center Program
项目负责人：	Stearns, Amy
执行机构：	Cooperative Mobility for Competitive Megaregions (CM2)
主要研究人员：	Wolshon, Brian
开始时间：	20170901
预计完成日期：	20180901
实际结束时间：	0