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Analysis of propagating explosions
| 题名： | Analysis of propagating explosions |
| 作者： | Bott, T.F.;Eisenhawer, S.W.;Luck, L.B.; |
| 关键词： | 45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEFENSE ;99 MATHEMATICS, COMPUTERS, INFORMATION SCIENCE, MANAGEMENT, LAW, MISCELLANEOUS; CHEMICAL EXPLOSIONS; PROBABILITY; CHEMICAL EXPLOSIVES; WEAPONS; PROPELLANTS; ROCKETS; ACCIDENTS; CHAIN REACTIONS; FAILURE MODE ANALYSIS; MARKOV PROCESS; SIMULATION |
| 摘要： | Weapons are often in close proximity to one another during transport or storage. If one weapon explodes, there is a possibility that the fragments generated will initiate a subsequent explosion in one or more neighboring weapons. Propagating explosions of this sort have the potential for severe consequences either because of the total amount of explosives that react or because the response of individual weapons may be particularly energetic. In this paper, we consider a well-defined problem in which the nature of the progression to all possible end states can be studied. We wish to determine the expected number of weapons to detonate along with other useful quantities. We examine the possible end states that the system can reach and show that we can represent the propagation process as a series of discrete time transitions. The transition probabilities from one state to the next then will depend only on the present state of the system. We present results of simulations that illustrate the effect of varying the detonation probability parameters. |
| 总页数： | 11p |
| 报告类型： | 科技报告 |
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