摘要: |
In reading of the current service reductions due to Covid, staff shortages and potentially substantial service cuts due to lack of continued central finance, I am in no doubt that some serious long-term planning for the industry is essential. Get the top line strategy correct, otherwise the future of the industry will not be maximised and could well be destroyed. I genuinely believe that in 15 years, or thereabouts, in urban areas the bus will be the principal mode of transport swamping car travel. In inter urban areas I believe that a combination of bus and private transport will be extant, with severe and costly parking restrictions in smaller and medium size towns, and in rural areas, a subsistence service will be necessary other than on better used corridors. I personally have not driven into a major UK city centre for over 25 years -Ⅰ practise what I preach and do not feel remotely restricted in my travels. All of this is a necessary end result of climate change and the effects of congestion appreciated and if handled properly by manipulating public opinion to support this modal shift it can be achieved. Look at how public opinion changed very quickly regarding drink-driving - also a transport issue concerning cars. We need to make car drivers feel doubly guilty by driving into city centres both with regard to pollution and congestion. But how do we get from what we have today to the necessary future scenario? It cannot be done overnight. I am appalled at the oft repeated suggestions from so called transport consultants or experts that one day you have the current free for all, and the next day all sorts of vehicle restrictions are applied and you have a major improvement in the bus service. In a larger city that might mean 500 extra buses and 1,500 drivers going into service overnight not to mention a couple of new depots and maintenance staff. Really? If such an improvement is to be realised in an organised manner, all sorts of logistical issues must be addressed, most notably drivers' wages to attract the huge increase in numbers required. This can only mean wages increasing from between 33% and 50% to ensure that the industry is a reasonably attractive proposition in a free labour market. So who is going to finance that? |