摘要: |
Shipping continues to navigate COVID-19 post-COVID-19 trends, the legacies of the 2021-22 crunch in global supply chains, a softening in the container shipping market, and shifts in shipping and trading patterns arising from the war in Ukraine. Maritime trade volume contracted marginally by 0.4% in 2022, but UNCTAD projects, it will grow by 2.4% in 2023. Indeed, the industry remains resilient and UNCTAD expects continued but moderated growth in maritime trade volume during 2024-28. During 2022, containerized trade, measured in metric tons, declined by 3.7%. UNCTAD projects it will increase by 1.2% in 2023 and expand by more than 3% in 2024-28, although this rate is below the long-term growth of about 7% of the previous three decades. On the supply side, container shipping may have entered an overcapacity phase, meaning that carriers will aim at managing capacity using tools such as slippage, idling of vessels or demolition. Global shipping continues to confront multiple challenges, including heightened trade policy and geopolitical tensions and is dealing with changes in globalization patterns. Additionally, shipping must transition to a more sustainable future, decarbonize and embrace digitalization. |