摘要: |
The intent of this Guidebook is help airport planners to modify annual aviation forecasts for use in facility planning or environmental analysis. Aviation forecasting is often quite technical, with subtleties that may not be as apparent to an airport planning professional as they are to a forecasting specialist. This Guidebook is designed to bridge that technical gap, to provide a clear and defined process to follow, and to provide insight on key areas often overlooked when preparing peak period and operational profiles. Using the Guidebook does not require extensive forecasting experience, but some familiarity with airports and the airport planning process is assumed. This Guidebook demonstrates how to quickly and effectively convert annual airport activity forecasts into forecasts of daily or hourly peak period activity. Annual forecasts of airport activity, whether measured by passengers or aircraft takeoffs and landings (operations), are widely available from the FAA and other sources. The planning and environmental evaluation of most airport facilities, however, is based on a shorter interval of time, such as a representative busy day often referred to as a design day, or a briefer (peak) period. These design day and peak period forecasts are not usually available. |