原文传递 A STUDY TO DETERMINE THE NEED FOR A STANDARD LIMITING THE HORSEPOWER OF RECREATIONAL BOATS
题名: A STUDY TO DETERMINE THE NEED FOR A STANDARD LIMITING THE HORSEPOWER OF RECREATIONAL BOATS
作者: R. White, C. Stiehl. N. Whatlev. W. Rlantnn
关键词: Safe Power, Horsepower,Risk, Power Ratio, Exposure,Effectiveness, Standard, Powerina Accident
摘要: This report delineates the efforts undertaken to determine if there is a need for a standard that limits the maximum mounted horsepower on recreational boats. A definition of a powering related accident is derived and presented in the form of a decision tree. The steps taken to collect a data base, and an explanation of the computer model designed to aid in organizing and analyzing the data are presented with the results of the analyses. An evaluation of the current standard's effectiveness in predicting powering related accidents is presented along with a list of possible alter- native approaches p saving the lives of boaters involved in powering related accidents. Conclusions drawn from the data analysis are presented with recommended consideration for future studies of the Study indicate that there are a significant number of lives (over 10O) lost each year because of powering related accidents These results indicate that there is a need for a powering standard. Powering accident mechanisms were identified, and detailed accident scenarios were developed for fatal accidents within the data base. The data indicate that the current standard predicts the high risk and fataltiy probability for johnboats which have high ratios of mounted horsepower divided by formula rated horsepower, but is not a good predictor for other boat types currently being manufactured. The standard seems to be less effective for newer boats with larger horsepower engines. The data also indicate regional differences in fatality rates, accident types, and accident probabilities with the Southeast being the highest risk region. A list of alternatives that need further investigation in future effort is presented with cost/benefit predictions for some of the more viable approaches.
报告类型: 科技报告
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